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How to Predict the Unpredictable
Poundstone, William
Editeur: Oneworld
Nombre de pages: 304
Format: 130/200/22
Langue: Anglais
Article manque momentanément
ISBN: 1780747209
EAN: 9781780747200
N° OLF: 6744192
Façonnage: Poche format B
Date de parution: 01/06/2015
Catégorie: Santé et Bien-être
Prix: 15,40 €
Tva: 5,5%
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Résumé:
We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streaks' that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be. In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase 'representativeness' to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You'll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.